Retirement clarity through better math.
FIRE Number
$1,714,286
Projected Portfolio
$2,845,900
Safe Annual Withdrawal
$71,148
Success Rate
81%
Adjust the inputs and run the Monte Carlo analysis to see your personalized retirement forecast.
Your FIRE Number is the amount of money you need invested so you can safely withdraw your desired annual spending using your chosen Safe Withdrawal Rate, adjusted for Social Security.
It runs 1,000 randomized market scenarios using realistic volatility. This gives you a success rate — the percentage of simulations in which your money lasts through 35 years of retirement.
Average returns hide risk. High volatility can destroy even mathematically “good” plans through sequence of returns risk. This tool models that reality.
This calculator is for educational and illustrative purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market returns are never guaranteed. Please consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized planning.